- SPYbullishshort-termCiting historical VIX spikes of 50%+ intraday, the host notes the S&P 500 was higher one week to one month later in nearly every case, with only the early-COVID reading negative.Source
- Employmentneutralshort-termThe host says any payroll print above 20k is fine, above 100k would push yields up, and an unstable participation rate could raise unemployment and feed recession fears.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termThe host pushes back on data-center-collapse fears: the Texas pause on new approvals changes nothing since 86% of 2027 construction is already vertical, real impact only hits 2028-2030, and local governments would rather negotiate taxes than kill projects.Source
- QQQneutralshort-termThe host cautions that buying Nasdaq calls right after a 69% VIX spike exposes buyers to vol crush — buying options means buying volatility, so one must be very careful.Source
- SOXLbullishshort-termThe host's Fibonacci retracement floor on SOXL is 39.5 and he calls the setup very sexy with possible upside from here, though he personally avoids 3x leverage and buying options after the vol spike.Source
- Market Breadthpositive for stocksshort-termS&P 500 constituents moved 13.2% on average while the index moved 1.1%, the highest dispersion in 30 years; the host says such liquidation-driven collapses are usually buy-the-dip moments.Source
- SPYbullishmid-termEndorsing TS Lombard's view that equities are fairly priced and typically strengthen into year-end and after midterms, the host adds that if stocks were cheap two days ago they are even cheaper now.Source
- Fed Policyneutralshort-termRate-hold odds have jumped from 13% to 33% in a month as hike expectations fade, and the host expects that trend to continue given how painfully equities are falling.Source
- Fed Policyneutralshort-termThe host discloses a small current Kalshi position betting that exactly one rate hike occurs this year, mainly to track sentiment day to day.Source
- NETbullishmid-termCloudflare smashed earnings, crossing $3B in ARR with profits up 39% on the AI boom, though costs rose more than expected and pricing power slipped.Source
- ABNBbullishmid-termThe host briefly notes Airbnb's earnings are also doing quite well, without elaboration.Source
- Valuationpositive for stocksmid-termTech forward multiples have compressed 45%, the most extreme valuation compression in a decade per the chart shown — the host's explicit conclusion is to buy the dip.Source
![The Start of the AI Boom (Or Depression) [How Cooked are We?!?!]](/api/thumb/SLG4LOeBjek)
