- Othernegative for stocksThe host notes Latin American macro conditions are weakening, pushing non-performing loans higher for lenders, though Nubank's credit metrics remain sound.Source
- NUbullishlong-termThe host discloses he has been buying Nu Holdings and remains bullish after roughly 30% top- and bottom-line growth; he sees the stock as undervalued and models a share-price double by 2029.Source
- MELIbullishlong-termThe host views MercadoLibre as the stronger business overall, but it will take longer for the market to realize it, and it shares similar risks with Nubank.Source
Daniel Pronk
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- NVDAbearishlong-termNVIDIA has no succession plan and 60 directors report directly to Jensen, so replacing him could only be a downgrade for the business, meaning some of the selling is justified.Source
- NVDAbullishlong-termAt a 15 forward P/E — its lowest in roughly a decade, below the 2022 sell-off and 2020 crash levels — while revenues and earnings keep exploding, the host believes NVIDIA is priced for the risks.Source
- NVDAbearishlong-termThe host is not concerned about the affair long-term but worries Google, Amazon, and AMD competition will erode NVIDIA's monopoly-like margins as rivals compete on price.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stockslong-termThe host believes hyperscalers cannot grow capex forever; when the AI build-out inevitably slows, chip and construction-related stocks will rerate lower with declining revenues and profits.Source
- AMZNbullishlong-termInstead of timing-play chip stocks, the host has focused his investing on durable businesses like Amazon and Meta that he expects to consistently grow profits from AI.Source
- METAbullishlong-termAlongside Amazon, Meta is named as a durable business the host invests in that he expects to consistently grow profits from AI.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termThe host discloses his largest position is Tasmea, an Australian electrical-infrastructure and maintenance company, which has helped him keep outperforming the S&P 500.Source
- NVDAneutrallong-termDespite the cheap valuation, the host lacks confidence in the analyst numbers and finds the 18% CAGR unimpressive, so he is explicitly not a buyer and prefers more certain opportunities elsewhere.Source
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- MELIbullishlong-termHe references his prior video explaining why he is buying more MercadoLibre shares and treats the Brazil-election sell-off as a non-event for long-term compounding.Source
- ROADbullishlong-termHe discloses a decently large position he keeps buying into, arguing the 20% drop on temporary weather and diesel margin headwinds is an overreaction; growth and margin re-expansion remain intact at pandemic-level multiples.Source
- BAMneutralHe says BAM's earnings were in line and the stock is fine, so it warrants no further discussion.Source
- Geopoliticsneutrallong-termHe views the Brazil election as a non-event for his Latin American holdings: political parties change over time and good businesses compound through any regime.Source
- SOFIneutrallong-termHe concedes SoFi is still growing very well, but notes it grows slower, earns less, and trades at double Nu Holdings' multiple, which is why he buys NU instead.Source
- NUbullishlong-termHe discloses starting a small position he plans to grow, calling ~10.8x forward earnings for 50%+ growth too cheap to ignore, with a long runway digitizing Mexico and Latin America.Source
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- Earningsnegative for stocksmid-termThe host says that in this earnings season, any company failing to post stellar results gets its stock punished, with the S&P 500's 4% intraday decline adding downside pressure.Source
- Otherneutrallong-termThe host says continued 50% growth in its largest market shows how large the opportunity in Latin America is, implying the company is still early in digitizing the economy.Source
- Geopoliticsneutrallong-termThe host views Brazil's political landscape as short-term noise that does not affect the business or its long-term thesis, noting the company has grown through multiple governments.Source
- NUneutralThe host says the recent sell-off in both NuBank and MercadoLibre is not justified, but this only assesses a past decline and gives no forward price direction.Source
- MELIbullishlong-termThe host argues the company is sacrificing short-term margins to reinvest in growth and market share, leaving the stock extremely cheap on a long-term view; he added to his position today and expects shareholder value to compound over decades.Source
- OtherneutralThe host observes that the market has become much more short-term focused, punishing companies whose profits are not exploding immediately.Source
- AMZNneutrallong-termSpeaking as a long-term shareholder, the host wants Amazon to keep investing as aggressively as possible in the near term if it produces more long-term free cash flow and profits, since that is how shareholder value is created.Source
- AI Capexneutrallong-termThe host argues the market is short-sighted in rewarding hyperscalers for an expected slowdown in AI build-out and capex, because that spending creates long-term shareholder value; he wants continued aggressive investment.Source
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- PLTRneutrallong-termPalantir's results are incredible with a 158% rule-of-40 score, but at 101x free cash flow the stock needs sustained hyper-growth to justify the multiple, and he lacks the conviction to own it.Source
- SHOPbearishlong-termShopify is a great business with strong growth, but 83x free cash flow is too high for 30% growth and he expects the multiple to eventually contract, so he is not interested.Source
- INTCbearishlong-termIntel's rally detached from fundamentals; even after the drop it trades at 81x free cash flow with a 43 forward P/E, and he calls it one of the lowest quality chip stocks he would not own at any price.Source
- RDDTneutrallong-termReddit looks cheap at 12x forward free cash flow with 40% guided growth, but its reliance on Google traffic and Google's AI shift undermines the moat, so he lacks the confidence to take a position.Source
- FTNTbearishmid-termFortinet's growth is decelerating toward sub-10% by 2027; it was priced for continued acceleration, and even at 27x free cash flow he considers it too expensive to buy.Source
- UBERneutrallong-termUber looks cheap at 16x forward earnings for a business growing 20%, but autonomous driving and competition from Waymo and Tesla cloud the long-term picture, so he won't take a position.Source
- MELIbullishlong-termThe host discloses MercadoLibre as one of the larger positions in his portfolio and says he will cover its earnings report promptly.Source
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- Earningspositive for stocksshort-termHe argues this earnings season's sell-offs are disproportionate and not entirely rational, and that long-term investors who control emotions can find the most opportunity in this volatility.Source
- AMZNbullishlong-termThe host added to his Amazon position after earnings; it is his second-largest holding. He sees the selloff as irrational given AWS accelerating to 39% growth, record margins, and the lowest price-to-operating-cash-flow since 2009.Source
- AI Capexneutrallong-termAmazon is the most aggressive hyperscaler on AI capex, funding it with debt, which is unsustainable — but if the AI buildout produces high ROI, Amazon stands to benefit the most; if not, it is left with unproductive debt.Source
- METAbullishmid-termComparing the three ad businesses, he notes Meta is the only one still accelerating and is about to pass Google in ad revenue, evidence its AI investments are paying off.Source
- AMZNbearishshort-termIn the near term he expects bears to hammer the weak advertising growth number and AI-agent disruption fears until the next quarterly report.Source
- AMZNbullishlong-termHis conservative DCF, assuming 20% annual operating cash flow growth and only a 17x multiple, still implies over 20% compounded annual share price growth over three years, and over 30% at a 19x multiple.Source
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- AI Capexneutrallong-termGoogle, like Meta and Amazon, is going free cash flow negative and diluting shareholders to fund AI infrastructure; the host expects this heavy capex to continue for the foreseeable future since AI demand is still ahead of supply.Source
- GOOGLbullishmid-termGoogle Cloud is the standout: revenue up 103% with operating income up 208%, now the main growth driver of the entire business.Source
- METAbullishmid-termMeta's ad business keeps growing above 25%, added more ad revenue than Google this quarter, and is on track to overtake Google as the largest digital ad company within a few quarters.Source
- GOOGLneutrallong-termAfter the 11% drop, Google trades around 24.5x operating income, back to its historical average; the premium is gone and it looks fairly valued, not a bargain worth adding.Source
- GOOGLbearishmid-termGoogle's core legacy businesses are decelerating rapidly; excluding Cloud the quarter was underwhelming, which is what the market is punishing.Source
- AMZNbullishlong-termThe host discloses he is actively buying more Amazon and Meta for his portfolio, believing they are cheaper and offer more value than Google.Source
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- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termUsing his own experience with an AI agent tool, the host rejects the claim that businesses are seeing no ROI on AI investments, calling that view shortsighted and false; he has personally seen strong ROI and therefore has growing faith that AI spend will continue to grow, especially as agentic AI improves and enables more use cases.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termAnthropic’s revenue grew 31x in five quarters while expanding margins and turning profitable in the most recent quarter; operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, liquid assets exceed $130 billion, and the company is in a very healthy financial position with strong ongoing business expansion.Source
- Valuationneutrallong-termDespite Anthropic’s strong fundamentals, the host will not invest in or buy its IPO: he believes the valuation is extremely high, about 80% of revenue is consumption-based and at risk if models become further commoditized, and the company has roughly $800 billion of future spending commitments through 2036 that it must pay even if it does not use the compute—a bet he is unwilling to place.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stocksshort-termAnthropic’s S-1 filing shows the company is well funded and profitable, easing market worries about AI funding and the sustainability of AI spend; as a result the AI trade is doing well today and could reverse the recent sell-off in AI stocks, while hyperscalers are selling off because their cloud backlogs are heavily tied to Anthropic.Source
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- METAbearishmid-termThe host reads the new Class C share as a signal that Meta plans to dilute shareholders, likely within the next year, to fund its AI buildout.Source
- METAneutralmid-termWith CapEx rising, the host expects Meta could be free cash flow negative for the full year in 2027 and likely to raise more debt.Source
- METAbullishlong-termIf Muse can monetize at Facebook/Instagram levels per user, it could become a massive long-term revenue driver, though the host concedes this is unproven.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termMeta's compute shortage convinces the host the AI buildout will continue for years, and he views the recent selling in the AI space as unjustified.Source
- METAbullishlong-termHis DCF assumes 15% annual operating cash flow growth and a 14x multiple, below the historical average, implying roughly 17% annual compounding from here.Source
- METAbullishlong-termThe host discloses he holds Meta shares, still considers the stock undervalued, and views the report as good overall despite the noise.Source
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- Otherneutrallong-termThe host believes more content and choices will happen over time, and in the world of generative AI it will become more challenging to compete for consumer attention.Source
- GOOGLneutralThe host says Netflix is essentially an add-on to Amazon's and Google's main businesses, and those companies have much more resources and compete in the same spaces; therefore he would not bet on Netflix in long-term competition, but this is not a directional view on Alphabet's stock.Source
- AMZNneutralThe host says Netflix is essentially an add-on to Amazon's and Google's main businesses, and those companies have much more resources and compete in the same spaces; therefore he would not bet on Netflix in long-term competition, but this is not a directional view on Amazon's stock.Source
- NFLXneutrallong-termThe host does not own NFLX and is skeptical: he believes Netflix's moat is weakening, revenue growth is decelerating to about 10%, and growth is driven mainly by price increases and advertising, with weak per-member watch time growth. Although margin expansion drives profit growth and free cash flow is strong, core business and growth drivers face limits amid intensifying competition (Amazon, Google, generative AI), so he is more skeptical than confident and does not find the post-earnings price compelling enough to buy; no bullish direction is stated.Source
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