What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- Market BreadthneutralRecently, semiconductors/tech stocks and traditional cyclical/defensive stocks have struggled to form synergy, showing a seesaw effect; the software sector is also diverging internally, with cybersecurity tracking semiconductors and some individual stocks moving independently, lacking overall coordination.Source
- ORCLneutralOracle's price action follows the data center sector, reflecting internal divergence within software; individual stocks move independently, with no clear direction.Source
- SPCXneutrallong-termSpaceX's $500 billion to $1 trillion annual recurring revenue target is based on high assumptions such as full-load operation and unchanged lease prices; it does not mean it will definitely be achieved next year, so forward valuations should be discounted according to one's confidence. Technically, the after-hours rebound to around 161 reached a previously broken platform with heavy trapped supply, making it a major overhead resistance area.Source
- ISRGneutrallong-termISRG requires patience as the big move has not yet come; growth is slowing and valuation is still not cheap. Historical growth of 20%+ corresponded to a PE above 41, but current growth is merely maintained, matching 25-35x. The safety margin is in the 300s; the plan is to raise the add-on range to 320-360 with an additional 4% position, while the aggressive first tranche is 370-405. The stock will likely oscillate in the 370-500 range and will not rise quickly.Source
- NFLXbullishlong-termNetflix remains attractive long term; below $77 it can be held and accumulated slowly, with a high probability of gains if held over a year. Current forward valuation of 20-30x is low, but 2027 growth drops to single digits, and the real large move may only start in 2027. Therefore, the plan is to wait for a strong bottoming pattern before buying, ready to act at any time.Source
- SOXXneutralThe Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is still in a turbulent state; it rose after hours, boosted by SpaceX's optimistic AI compute demand outlook and SMCI's strong revenue preannouncement, with semiconductor, AI, and data center stocks generally higher, but the overall situation is not yet stable.Source