What Couch Investor said in this video:
- Geopoliticsneutralmid-termLula's win is not pro-business, but South American governments swing between pro- and anti-business; this cyclical political risk is inherent to investing in the region.Source
- MELIbullishlong-termThese South American businesses are where they are because they have executed time and time again, so the politically driven selloff does not change his view.Source
- DLObullishlong-termThe Lula-driven selloff does not change his view on dLocal alongside Nu and MercadoLibre; such political swings are the known risk of investing in the region.Source
- NUbullishlong-termThe 22% pre-market drop on the Brazil election is an overreaction; Nu has executed through many South American cycles and his view is unchanged, though today is not the day to jump in.Source
- SPCXbullishlong-termSpaceX's $40B debt raise is not a bubble popping but a move to grow faster with cheaper capital access, more GPUs and fewer competitors than rivals.Source
- NBISbullishlong-termAdmitting possible bias, he calls Nebius a world-class company with world-class management whose results show continued correct execution despite Musk's commentary.Source
- CRWVneutralshort-termWith the stock already under heavy pressure, CoreWeave simply has to deliver on its guidance, and overdelivering would be even better; no directional call is made.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stockslong-termWeak neo-cloud players that fail to deliver data centers on time will probably not exist in a year to a year and a half; Musk's fearmongering serves SpaceX, not the ecosystem.Source