What 美股Alpha姐 said in this video:
- SPYbullishshort-termThe S&P 500 remains in a consolidation range with an important upside target at 791-792; if the 20-day MA holds and there is no rate hike in September, the market is likely to move higher, with the host seeing a relatively high probability of further upside.Source
- Fed Policypositive for stocksshort-termThe market has pushed the September rate-hike odds from 30% to 65%, but the host thinks this pricing is somewhat overdone; if there is no hike in September, the market will rally from the range, with a relatively high probability of further upside.Source
- QQQbullishshort-termThe Nasdaq 100 ETF retested key support at 707-712.6; if it holds, it can grind higher for one to two weeks, while overhead resistance sits at 712.8-724.3, which previously rejected price.Source
- DIAneutralshort-termThe Dow ETF is hovering in a narrow range near 53200 and is expected to stay range-bound; the rising-channel lower line at 53100 must hold, and if it does, price can still attack the 55600 upper line.Source
- IWMbearishThe Russell 2000 ETF has clearly broken down with further downward momentum; overhead pressure is stronger than support below, and it has entered a wide consolidation, with the 50-day MA needing to hold.Source
- Otherneutralshort-termThe VIX is still at a relatively low level, so options are cheap; if investors hold many long stock positions and fear a black-swan event at the Fed meeting, they can take a small position in short-term put options or put spreads to hedge, benefiting if volatility expands before the meeting.Source
- TLTbearishThe long-term Treasury ETF TLT briefly broke below a key support formed from the October 2023 low; although pulled back, it hovers around the critical 82.5 area, which is a risk signal the host has repeatedly emphasized in past weeks.Source