What HJTrades said in this video:
- QQQbearishmid-termLosing the 200-day with a red weekly cloud has historically led to 2-8 weeks lower and drawdowns of 6-18%, per his eight-to-nine-year review of past instances.Source
- SMHneutralshort-termSemis sit right on the 200-day; he leans toward it holding, but if price falls 5-7% to 480-495 it historically bottoms within a week before a 12-15% bounce.Source
- QQQbullishshort-termWith 4-hour RSI oversold, the host's base case is a 2-3% snapback bounce on QQQ next week even if a larger rollover follows later.Source
- SPYneutralshort-termSPY is holding the weekly 21 EMA in a controlled pullback; he expects the overhead gap to be filled this week, while a loss of 740 targets the 200-day.Source
- Market Breadthpositive for stocksshort-termAfter a ~39% VIX spike was crushed into the close, he expects VIX to break down this week, which would let SPY and QQQ trend higher again.Source
- RSPbullishmid-termThe equal-weight S&P is trending toward all-time highs, showing the broad market is being bought while only Mag 7 and chips weigh the indices down.Source
- IWMbearishmid-termSmall caps lost the 200-day and rejected the weekly 21; with no recent failed-breakdown先例 he leans toward further downside over coming months.Source
- NVDAbullishshort-termNVIDIA's oversold daily RSI stat has a 100% hit rate over 4 years (20+ samples) for at least a 10% bounce; he discloses being fully loaded and targets 222-230.Source