What Couch Investor said in this video:
- ORCLneutralOracle looks cheap on paper, but it carries a huge amount of debt and has no free cash flow; major data center delays could affect its future free cash flow profile, and debt repayments will not slow down anytime soon. Rising cost of capital is why the stock is down today.Source
- ValuationneutralFrom a valuation standpoint, the host believes the biggest companies — including big tech, certain semiconductors, and financials — are certainly not overvalued across the board. Macro is keeping these names down, and the environment is not comparable to 2021, 2022 or the dot-com bubble.Source
- SOFIbullishlong-termThe host still owns every share of SoFi he bought and has zero plans to sell. He notes the business is performing very well (revenue, members, deposits and lending all growing strongly) and valuation is cheap (forward P/E around 22.6 and PEG 0.6), with the horrendous year-to-date stock drop driven purely by macro. Following past patterns, the stock may stay stuck between $16 and $20 for the next two quarters, but once it gets back above $20, sentiment will flip.Source
- NUneutralThe host views Nu as a tremendously well-run, very good business: first billion-dollar profit quarter, 39% FX-neutral revenue growth, ROE of 33%, close to 140 million customers, and expansion in Mexico and the US. However, the stock is under pressure from macro and its own heavy investments; he stresses it is one of the best fintech names and that stock pressure does not mean it is a bad company, but he gives no explicit price direction.Source
- HOODneutralThe host believes HOOD is a very good business to own, with strong revenue growth, successful prediction markets driving diversification and offsetting the crypto drop, plus important execution and leadership. However, he gives no explicit price direction, only saying the company will be fine if it continues executing.Source
- Fed Policyneutrallong-termThe host says companies like SoFi would be a much better business if the Fed cuts rates and inflation comes down, possibly in 2027, but he explicitly remains unsure whether that will happen.Source